Volume 34 Issue 2
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LIAO Li-ping, WANG Fang. The Change Trajectory and Evolution Characteristics of Guangdong Total Factor Productivity in the Context of Opening up[J]. Journal of Guangdong University of Finance & Economics, 2019, 34(2): 102-112.
Citation: LIAO Li-ping, WANG Fang. The Change Trajectory and Evolution Characteristics of Guangdong Total Factor Productivity in the Context of Opening up[J]. Journal of Guangdong University of Finance & Economics, 2019, 34(2): 102-112.

The Change Trajectory and Evolution Characteristics of Guangdong Total Factor Productivity in the Context of Opening up

  • Received Date: 2019-01-03
    Available Online: 2021-05-29
  • Publish Date: 2019-04-28
  • Guangdong is the pioneer of China's reform and opening up. In recent years, the slowdown of economic growth in Guangdong has aroused concerns about the sustainable growth of export-oriented economy. In order to effectively play a role of opening to the outside world for the promotion of total factor productivity and the sustainable economic growth, this paper calculates the total factor productivity (TFP) of Guangdong Province from 1990 to 2016 by using the OLS regression method, and investigates the influence track and evolution characteristics of FDI, import and export dependence on TFP. The empirical results show that from the perspective of impact trajectory, with the increase of FDI, import and export dependence, total factor productivity shows an inverted U-shaped change trajectory, which rises first and then decreases; from the perspective of evolution characteristics, with the passage of time, the positive impact interval of FDI, import and export on total factor productivity is narrowing. Therefore, with the deepening of reform and opening up, FDI, imports and exports must be expanded from quantity to quality in order to effectively maintain its role of promoting total factor productivity.
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