Volume 40 Issue 3
May  2025
Turn off MathJax
Article Contents
CHEN Jianguo, LI Wei. The Impact of CHINA RAILWAY Express on Urban Export Resilience[J]. Journal of Guangdong University of Finance & Economics, 2025, 40(3): 19-39.
Citation: CHEN Jianguo, LI Wei. The Impact of CHINA RAILWAY Express on Urban Export Resilience[J]. Journal of Guangdong University of Finance & Economics, 2025, 40(3): 19-39.

The Impact of CHINA RAILWAY Express on Urban Export Resilience

  • Received Date: 2025-01-19
    Available Online: 2025-06-25
  • Publish Date: 2025-05-28
  • As a vital international transportation artery linking the Eurasian market, CHINA RAILWAY Express (CR Express) ushers in novel trade avenues for cities along its route, and propels the local economy towards diversified advancement. Leveraging the quasi-natural experiment of CR Express's establishment, this study harnesses panel data from 281 Chinese prefecture-level cities spanning from 2009 to 2022. A multi-period difference-in-difference model is employed to empirically scrutinize CR Express's impact on urban export resilience, and its underlying mechanisms. The results demonstrate that CR Express's launch significantly bolsters urban export resilience, with this positive effect exhibiting a gradual upward trajectory over time. This conclusion withstands a battery of robustness tests and endogeneity corrections. Heterogeneous analysis reveals that CR Express's boost to urban export resilience is more pronounced in western routes, large-and medium-sized cities, non-resource-based cities, and central hub cities. Further examination indicates that the number of countries served, destination types, and logistics capacity of CR Express routes positively modulate CR Express's promotional impact. Moreover, CR Express's policy effect has an optimal distance, with its influence primarily within a 200km radius. Mechanism testing shows that CR Express enhances urban export resilience chiefly through technological innovation and resource allocation effects. Extended research suggests that CR Express's independent effect, export resilience's standalone role, and their synergistic effect all significantly drive the high-quality development of urban foreign trade. It is imperative to reinforce CR Express's strategic underpinnings, spur technological innovation, optimize resource allocation, and take into account the optimal policy radiation distance. These measures can further unleash CR Express's trade-channel potential and promote the high-quality growth of China's foreign trade.
  • loading
  • [1]
    HUDEC O, REGGIANI A, SISEROVA M. Resilience capacity and vulnerability: a joint analysis with reference to Slovak urban districts[J]. Cities, 2018, 73(5): 24-35.
    [2]
    许英明, 邢李志, 董现垒. "一带一路"倡议下中欧班列贸易通道研究[J]. 国际贸易, 2019(2): 80-86.
    [3]
    周学仁, 张越. 国际运输通道与中国进出口增长——来自中欧班列的证据[J]. 管理世界, 2021(4): 52-67, 102.
    [4]
    YAN B C, TIAN X, DENG S Y, et al. Impact of China railway express on urban exports: evidence from prefectural-level city economic data[J]. Procedia Computer Science, 2022, 214(11): 1222-1227.
    [5]
    赵明亮, 刘钦香, 孙威, 等. 中欧班列开通对中国沿线城市出口贸易的影响及机制检验[J]. 地理学报, 2023(6): 1427-1442.
    [6]
    赵红军, 张军, 高恒宇, 等. 中欧班列、运输通达性与国内国际双循环——来自中欧班列开行的准自然实验证据[J]. 南开经济研究, 2022(9): 3-20.
    [7]
    裴长洪, 刘斌. 中国对外贸易的动能转换与国际竞争新优势的形成[J]. 经济研究, 2019(5): 4-15.
    [8]
    刘斌, 李秋静, 李川川. 跨境铁路运输是否加快了中国向西开放——基于城市-产品层面的经验证据[J]. 管理世界, 2022(8): 101-118.
    [9]
    刘恩专, 李津. 中欧班列是否改变了沿线城市的贸易方式——基于PSM-DID和SCM检验[J]. 经济问题, 2020(4): 121-129.
    [10]
    王萌, 谢宇平. 中欧班列开通对中国城市出口结构升级的影响研究[J]. 湖南大学学报(社会科学版), 2024(2): 85-94.
    [11]
    张梦婷, 钟昌标. 跨境运输的出口效应研究——基于中欧班列开通的准自然实验[J]. 经济地理, 2021(12): 122-131.
    [12]
    赵家章, 丁国宁. 中欧班列推动中国对外贸易高质量发展: 理论逻辑、困境及路径[J]. 国际贸易, 2023(7): 32-40.
    [13]
    贺灿飞, 陈韬. 外部需求冲击、相关多样化与出口韧性[J]. 中国工业经济, 2019(7): 61-80.
    [14]
    KIMM S G. Development aid and export resilience in developing countries: a reference to aid for trade[J]. Economies, 2022, 10(7): 1-31.
    [15]
    MU X, ZHAN Q, ZENG X. Can friend-shoring policies improve export resilience? a study based on the belt and road initiative[J]. International Review of Economics and Finance, 2024, 96(8): 1-13.
    [16]
    WANG H, PENG G, DU H. Digital economy development boosts urban resilience: evidence from China[J]. Scientific Reports, 2024, 14(1): 1-15.
    [17]
    LI H L, ZHANG Z R, MIAO H R. The Impact of digital transformation on enterprise export resilience: evidence from China[J]. International Review of Economics and Finance, 2024, 95(8): 1-15.
    [18]
    许朝凯, 刘宏曼. 多元化风险、策略调整与出口韧性[J]. 国际商务(对外经济贸易大学学报), 2023(4): 54-68.
    [19]
    姜帅帅, 刘慧. 危机冲击下全球价值链嵌入对企业出口韧性的"双刃剑"效应[J]. 国际商务(对外经济贸易大学学报), 2021(1): 1-17.
    [20]
    蒋含明, 李婷. 全球价值链嵌入与企业出口韧性[J]. 南方经济, 2023(8): 35-51.
    [21]
    刘益宁, 潘昌蔚, 李秀婷. 全国统一大市场与出口企业供应链韧性[J]. 世界经济与政治论坛, 2024(4): 103-121.
    [22]
    杨春蕾, 张二震. "一带一路"建设经济增长的空间外溢效应研究——以"渝新欧"班列为例[J]. 世界经济与政治论坛, 2020(6): 142-157.
    [23]
    肖挺, 叶浩. 火车外贸能拉来真金白银吗——中欧班列吸引外资能力的实证检验[J]. 国际贸易问题, 2022(8): 69-84.
    [24]
    汪克亮, 赵斌, 许如玉. 国际交通运输通道与城市绿色低碳转型——基于中欧班列开通的准自然实验[J]. 经济问题探索, 2023(11): 108-124.
    [25]
    孙林, 陈霜. 中欧班列开通、贸易网络效应与中国企业出口韧性[J]. 国际贸易问题, 2023(10): 71-89.
    [26]
    李佳, 王函. 中欧班列开通与城市出口竞争力[J]. 中国经济学, 2022(3): 130-167.
    [27]
    李振, 王秀芝. 财政科技支出效率对地方产业结构升级的影响——基于我国省级面板数据的实证分析[J]. 经济体制改革, 2022(1): 143-149.
    [28]
    李佳, 闵悦, 王晓. 中欧班列开通对城市创新的影响研究: 兼论政策困境下中欧班列的创新效应[J]. 世界经济研究, 2020(11): 57-74.
    [29]
    徐毅, 王志强. 数字经济与出口韧性——基于281个地级市面板数据的经验证据[J]. 调研世界, 2024(7): 15-26.
    [30]
    毛其淋, 方森辉. 创新驱动与中国制造业企业出口技术复杂度[J]. 世界经济与政治论坛, 2018(2): 1-24.
    [31]
    顾乃华, 张瑞志. 中欧班列开通能否助推企业全要素生产率提高?——基于我国制造业上市公司数据的准自然实验[J]. 广东社会科学, 2022(3): 5-14.
    [32]
    张祥建, 李永盛, 赵晓雷. 中欧班列对内陆地区贸易增长的影响效应研究[J]. 财经研究, 2019(11): 97-111.
    [33]
    王世平, 赵春燕. 城市韧性与城市出口——基于中国地级市面板数据的实证分析[J]. 山西财经大学学报, 2016(6): 1-14.
    [34]
    王文宇, 任卓然, 李伟, 等. 贸易壁垒、市场相关多样化与城市出口韧性[J]. 地理研究, 2021(12): 3287-3301.
    [35]
    CALDERON C A, SERVEN L. The effects of infrastructure development on growth and income distribution[J]. Annals of Economics and Finance, 2014, 15(2): 521-534.
    [36]
    文雁兵, 张梦婷, 俞峰. 中国交通基础设施的资源再配置效应[J]. 经济研究, 2022(1): 155-171.
    [37]
    汪克亮, 赵斌, 刘家民. 国际交通运输通道与双循环新发展格局——基于中欧班列开通的准自然实验[J]. 山西财经大学学报, 2024(5): 1-15.
    [38]
    YANG Z, SUN Y, LEE P T W. Impact of the development of the China-Europe railway express: a case on the chongqing international logistics center[J]. Transportation Research Part A, 2020, 136(3): 244-261.
    [39]
    周锐波, 吴云峰, 马小毅. 对外交通基础设施改善对城市经济韧性的影响——来自中国高铁的经验证据[J]. 城市发展研究, 2024(5): 64-71.
    [40]
    MENA C, KARATZAS A, HANSEN C. International trade resilience and the Covid-19 pandemic[J]. The Journal of Business Research, 2012, 138(8): 77-91.
    [41]
    MARCEL V D B, JAARSMA M. What drives heterogeneity in the resilience of trade: firm-specific versus regional characteristics[J]. Papers in Regional Science, 2017, 96(1): 13-33.
    [42]
    MARTIN R, SUNLEY P, GARDINER B, et al. How regions react to recessions: resilience and the role of economic structure[J]. Regional Studies, 2016, 50(4): 561-585.
    [43]
    任卓然, 徐青文, 贺灿飞. 新冠肺炎疫情时期中国出口韧性及出口贸易格局研究[J]. 地理科学, 2023(12): 2196-2215.
    [44]
    刘慧, 綦建红. 外需冲击下多元化策略如何影响企业出口韧性[J]. 国际经贸探索, 2021(12): 4-19.
    [45]
    CHAISEMARTIN C D, HAULTFOEUILLE X D. Two-way fixed effects estimators with heterogeneous treatment effects[J]. American Economic Review, 2020, 110(9): 2964-2996.
    [46]
    GOODMAN B A. Difference-in-Differences with variation in treatment timing[J]. Journal of Econometrics, 2021, 225(2): 254-277.
    [47]
    白俊红, 张艺璇, 卞元超. 创新驱动政策是否提升城市创业活跃度——来自国家创新型城市试点政策的经验证据[J]. 中国工业经济, 2022(6): 61-78.
    [48]
    顾雪芹. 国际交通运输通道对城市资源配置效率的影响: 基于中欧班列开通的准自然试验[J]. 世界经济研究, 2024(10): 121-134, 137.
    [49]
    闫东升, 何甜, 陈雯. 人口聚集、经济扩散及其不一致状况——来自长江三角洲的经验研究[J]. 经济地理, 2017(9): 47-56.
    [50]
    龚恩泽, 张建清, 杨壮. 自贸试验区试点是否助力了城市高质量发展?[J]. 经济问题探索, 2023(4): 102-120.
  • 加载中

Catalog

    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

    1. 本站搜索
    2. 百度学术搜索
    3. 万方数据库搜索
    4. CNKI搜索

    Figures(3)  / Tables(15)

    Article Metrics

    Article Views(6) PDF Downloads(0) Cited by()
    Proportional views
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return