Reshaping China's Economic Momentum (2002—2019): Time Series Evolution and Spatial Differentiation

TANG Yi-qiu; LIU Huan-huan; WANG Jia-long

Volume 37 Issue 1

Jan. 2022

Turn off MathJax

Article Contents

Article Navigation > Journal of Guangdong University of Finance & Economics > 2022 > 37(1): 40-57

TANG Yi-qiu, LIU Huan-huan, WANG Jia-long. Reshaping China's Economic Momentum (2002—2019): Time Series Evolution and Spatial Differentiation[J]. Journal of Guangdong University of Finance & Economics, 2022, 37(1): 40-57.

Citation:

TANG Yi-qiu, LIU Huan-huan, WANG Jia-long. Reshaping China's Economic Momentum (2002—2019): Time Series Evolution and Spatial Differentiation[J]. Journal of Guangdong University of Finance & Economics, 2022, 37(1): 40-57.

Citation:

PDF( 3498 KB)

Reshaping China's Economic Momentum (2002—2019): Time Series Evolution and Spatial Differentiation

1.
School of Big Data Application and Economics, Guizhou University of Finance and Economics, Guiyang 550025
2.
School of Economics, Inner Mongolia University of Finance and Economics, Hohhot 010051, China

Received Date: 2021-10-21
Available Online: 2022-02-22
Publish Date: 2022-01-28

Abstract

Abstract

Starting from the cultivation of new kinetic energy and the connotation of traditional kinetic energy transformation, with a related index system constructed, this paper explores the temporal evolution and spatial differentiation of China's economic kinetic energy reshaping from the four dimensions of level, quality, speed and direction. It is found that the overall reshaping of China's economic kinetic energy is in a state of medium quality, with spatial differences characterized by the east leading and the central and western following; green development is the most significant driving force for the cultivation of new kinetic energy, however, the development stage guided by high-quality human capital has never appeared, and the time span for innovation is also very limited, indicating that China has bottlenecks and shortcomings in the fields of independent innovation and knowledge economy; the failure of commodity demand to lead the transformation of traditional momentum reflects the urgency and necessity of consumption expansion and quality improvement.
- economic kinetic energy,
- economic kinetic energy reshaping,
- new kinetic energy cultivation,
- traditional kinetic energy transformation,
- Chinese economy,
- green development,
- human capital

FullText(HTML)

References(44)

References

[1]	王静. 供需匹配的产业升级效应及其机制研究[J]. 广东财经大学学报, 2021(5): 41-60. https://song.cbpt.cnki.net/WKG/WebPublication/paperDigest.aspx?paperID=af5b9900-231c-40d7-a3e2-0cc094afef51
[2]	SOLOW R. A contribution to the theory of economic growth[J]. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1956, 70(1): 65-94. doi: 10.2307/1884513
[3]	ROMER P M. Increasing returns and long-run growth[J]. Journal of Political Economy, 1986, 94(5): 1002-1037. doi: 10.1086/261420
[4]	LUCAS R E. On the mechanics of economic development[J]. Journal of Monetary Economy, 1988, 22(1): 3-42. doi: 10.1016/0304-3932(88)90168-7
[5]	SOLOW R. Technical change and the aggregate production function[J]. Review of Economics and Statistics, 1957, 39(3): 312-320. doi: 10.2307/1926047
[6]	杨万平, 杜行. 中国经济增长源泉: 要素投入、效率提升还是生态损耗?[J]. 西安交通大学学报: 社会科学版, 2015(4): 23-31. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XAJD201504005.htm
[7]	VERTOVA G. National technological specialisation and the highest technological opportunities historically[J]. Technovation, 2001, 21(9): 605-612. doi: 10.1016/S0166-4972(01)00034-7
[8]	程名望, 贾晓佳, 仇焕广. 中国经济增长(1978-2015): 灵感还是汗水?[J]. 经济研究, 2019(7): 30-46. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-5719.2019.07.028
[9]	李长英, 周荣云, 余淼杰. 中国新旧动能专户的历史演进及区域特征[J]. 数量经济技术经济研究, 2021(2): 3-23. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SLJY202102001.htm
[10]	郑江淮, 宋建, 张玉昌, 等. 中国经济增长新旧动能转换的进展评估[J]. 中国工业经济, 2018(6): 24-42. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-GGYY201806004.htm
[11]	朱子云. 中国经济增长质量的变动趋势与提升动能分析[J]. 数量经济技术经济研究, 2019(5): 23-43. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SLJY201905002.htm
[12]	KUMBHAKAR S C, DENNY M, FUSS M. Estimation and composition of productivity change when production is not efficient: a panel data approach[J]. Econometric Reviews, 2000, 19(4): 312-320. doi: 10.1080/07474930008800481
[13]	陈诗一. 节能减排、结构调整与工业发展方式转变研究[M]. 北京: 北京大学出版社, 2011.
[14]	刘瑞翔, 安同良. 中国经济增长的动力来源于转换展望——基于最终需求角度的分析[J]. 经济研究, 2011(7): 30-64. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JJYJ201107005.htm
[15]	刘瑞翔. 探寻中国经济增长源泉: 要素投入、生产率与环境消耗[J]. 世界经济, 2013(10): 123-141. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SJJJ201310007.htm
[16]	林毅夫, 任若恩. 东亚经济增长模式相关争论的再探讨[J]. 经济研究, 2007(8): 4-12. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JJYJ200708002.htm
[17]	蔡皙, 王德文. 中国经济增长可持续性与劳动贡献[J]. 经济研究, 1999(10): 62-68. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JJYJ199910014.htm
[18]	钱娟, 李金叶. 中国经济增长动力的时间异质性及阶段性演化规律[J]. 统计与决策, 2018(1): 123-127. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-TJJC201801031.htm
[19]	赵志耘, 吕冰洋, 郭庆旺, 等. 资本积累与技术进步的动态融合[J]. 经济研究, 2007(11): 18-31. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JJYJ200711005.htm
[20]	OZYURT S. Total factor productivity growth in Chinese industry: 1952-2005[J]. Oxford Development Studies, 2009, 1(37): 1-17.
[21]	LARDY N. China: toward a consumption-driven growth path[J]. 2006, 6(6): 4-37.
[22]	YOUNG A. The Razor' edge: distortions and in-cremental reform in the People's Republic of China[J]. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2000, 115(4): 1091-1135. doi: 10.1162/003355300555024
[23]	严成樑. 我国产业结构变迁与经济曾航的动力[J]. 华中师范大学学报, 2017(3): 63-73. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-HZSD201702007.htm
[24]	李扬, 张晓晶. 新常态: 经济发展的逻辑与前景[J]. 经济研究, 2015(5): 4-19. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JJYJ201505002.htm
[25]	KRUGMAN P. The myth of Asia's miracle[J]. Foreign Affairs, 1994, 111(6): 1121-1152. https://www.jstor.org/stable/20046929
[26]	任保平, 李梦欣. 中国经济新阶段质量型增长的动力转换难点与破解思路[J]. 经济纵横, 2016 (9): 33-40. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JJZH201609008.htm
[27]	林毅夫, 刘明兴. 经济发展战略与中国的工业化[J]. 经济研究, 2004(7): 48-58. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JJYJ200407005.htm
[28]	刘小玄. 中国转轨经济中的产权结构和市场结构[J]. 经济研究, 2003(1): 21-29, 92. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JJYJ200301002.htm
[29]	樊纲, 王小鲁, 张立文, 等. 中国各地区市场化相对进程报告[J]. 经济研究, 2003(3): 8-18, 89. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JJYJ200303001.htm
[30]	吴国培, 王伟斌, 张习宁. 新常态下的中国经济增长潜力分析[J]. 金融研究, 2015(8): 46-63. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1009-3109.2015.08.010
[31]	刘凤良, 章潇萌. 中国经济增长进程中的动能切换与结构转型[J]. 中国人民大学学报, 2016(5): 2-11. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZRDX201605001.htm
[32]	封永刚, 蒋雨彤, 彭珏. 中国经济增长动力分解: 有偏技术进步与要素投入增长[J]. 数量经济技术经济研究, 2017(9): 39-56. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SLJY201709003.htm
[33]	任保平. 新常态要素禀赋结构变化背景下中国经济增长潜力开发的动力转换[J]. 经济学家, 2015(5): 13-19. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JJXJ201505004.htm
[34]	余泳泽, 杨晓章, 张少辉. 中国经济由高速增长向高质量发展的时空转换特征研究[J]. 数量经济技术经济研究, 2019(6): 3-21. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SLJY201906001.htm
[35]	国家统计局综合司课题组. 我国经济增长动力及其转换[J]. 调研世界, 2014(12): 3-8. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DYSJ201412001.htm
[36]	董新兴, 李德荃, 吕寒冰. 新旧动能转换绩效考核评价指标体系优化研究[J]. 山东社会科学, 2020(5): 136-141. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SDSK202005023.htm
[37]	柴士改, 李金昌. 中国经济发展新旧动能转换的检测研究[J]. 财经论丛, 2020(12): 13-22. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-CJLC202012002.htm
[38]	杨耀武, 张平. 中国经济高质量发展的逻辑、测度与治理[J]. 经济研究, 2021(1): 26-42. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JJYJ202101003.htm
[39]	禹春霞, 满茹, 邹志琴. 基于熵权-TOPSIS的人工智能行业上市公司投资价值动态评价研究[J]. 工业技术经济, 2020(1): 138-146. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-GHZJ202012017.htm
[40]	邱东. 多指标综合评价中合成方法的系统分析[J]. 财经问题研究, 1991(6): 39-42. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-CJWT199106009.htm
[41]	汤旖璆, 刘琪, 王佳龙. 地方财政卫生投入与城市医疗卫生公共服务[J]. 财经论丛, 2021(7): 36-47. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-CJLC202107004.htm
[42]	边伟军, 李杰, 罗公利. 制造业新旧动能转换的测度方法与应用研究[J]. 济南大学学报, 2021(2): 113-125. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JILI202102012.htm
[43]	任保平, 李禹墨. 新时代我国经济从高速增长转向高质量发展的动力转换[J]. 经济与管理评论, 2019(1): 5-12. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SDJJ201901001.htm
[44]	张蕴萍, 陈言, 张明明. 中国货币政策对城乡收入结构的非对称影响[J]. 学习与探索, 2017(10): 130-136. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XXTS201710018.htm